19.2% chance of ‘Yes’

[border_humper]

https://archive.is/2026.04.02-143454/https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/alberta-separatism-online-betting-9.7147933

Right now on Kalshi, there is an open bet for the question: “Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?” As of Tuesday afternoon, there was a 19.2 per cent chance for "yes," meaning that a $10 bet will yield a $43 payout. That same $10 bet will yield a $12 payout if Alberta does not vote to secede from Canada. There has been $50,634 US wagered on Kalshi on that question.
While CBC News could not place any bets on Kalshi, Polymarket allowed us to bet on the question, “Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?” As of Tuesday afternoon, there was $32,590 US wagered on Polymarket on that question. Polymarket gives a 16 per cent chance of the "yes" side winning. Betting $10 will result in a $55.44 payout if Alberta votes for independence, and $11.64 if Alberta does not vote for independence.
On Tuesday, the Canadian Press reported that organizers with Stay Free Alberta, a pro-separatist group, have gathered enough signatures to trigger a referendum. They still have another month to deliver the names to Elections Alberta for verification.
Gambling researchers are worried of the possible ramifications to how people may vote if they see these results ahead of time.

CBC is afraid since prediction markets are pricing separation.

 

[ayn_rands_ghost]

 

[d01tg0d0wn]

we shall give em hell. They have no idea how we fight but fight we shall


View: https://www.bitchute.com/video/GUWBWgMsAJqD

 

[brutana_dilewski]

Polymarket gives a 16 per cent chance of the "yes" side winning. Betting $10 will result in a $55.44 payout if Alberta votes for independence

Just tell all the Albertans they can get 550% return on their life savings if they all bet it on 'yes' and vote to separate.