A recent poll by EKOS Research, released on November 11, 2025, indicates that the Liberal Party of Canada leads in every province, including Alberta, with 44% support among decided voters, compared to 33% for the Conservatives. This polling data, which shows a significant surge for the Liberals following Prime Minister Mark Carney's November 4th budget, has been described as a "Liberal tsunami" by some commentators. The poll, conducted between November 6 and 11, 2025, surveyed 1,191 Canadians and reported a margin of error of eight percentage points, which is notably high. Critics have questioned the poll's credibility, noting that EKOS received $1.5 million in contracts from the Liberal government in 2024 alone, raising concerns about potential bias. Despite these concerns, the poll suggests the Liberals could gain 35 seats, while the Conservatives would lose 34, potentially leading to a supermajority. However, the poll's methodology and results have been challenged, with some analysts pointing out that the high margin of error and the source of funding undermine its reliability.
