DisobeyTyranny
Based Member
China Is In Economic Dire Straits And They're No Longer Able To Hide It | ZeroHedge
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
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China will not be able to survive tariffs on the current scale for long (a single year of 124% tariffs would crush China's economy beyond repair). The US is 15% of China's export market, which may not sound substantial but their next largest trading partner (outside of Hong Kong) is Vietnam at 4% of exports. In terms of domestic buying, China is 11% of the global consumer market which is not too shabby, but compared to the US with its 30%-35% global consumer market share there is no chance that the Chinese will be able to fill the void domestically and stay afloat.
But the situation is far worse than most people know...
China has been suffering from a deflationary crisis since 2023. An uptick in exports during the pandemic was offset by the CCP's draconian lockdowns. This was, essentially, fiscal suicide on the part of the government and China has been struggling ever since. Their property market has imploded, partially due to overbuilding through government subsidized infrastructure programs that flooded the market with poorly constructed homes and buildings that were then left to rot. Corporate defaults have run rampant and left investors with nothing.
There was some optimism that the government’s measures to end the crisis had been working to reinvigorate the market, but on Mar 31st, government-linked developer Vanke reported a record 49.5 billion yuan (S$9.1 billion) annual loss for 2024. It’s the company’s first full-year loss since its initial public offering in 1991, reigniting concerns about the sector and showing just how deep the problem runs.
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